Fallout will suck because Bethesda are making it. None of the counter-arguments here make any sense.
Whether you love or hate Morrowind, it was a product of many years of work by people who cared about the ES series.
Whether you love or hate Oblivion, it was a product of a few months work by people who wanted to build a RPG with a FPS graphic engine.
Oblivion was successful mainly due to the qualities of the Havoc engine. The only part that Bethesda contributed to its success was HYPE. Hell, their big contribution - Radiant AI - had to be abandonned. Anyone who is familiar with the Oblivion Construction Set (editor) will tell you that the actual Oblivion game was thrown together somewhat carelessly, with almost no thought to roleplaying, game balance or long term appeal. It really is GTA
iddle Earth.
Fallout will suck, not because it is first person or action oriented or any of that shit, but because Bethesda are doing it and they will rush the design. It will be based on the Oblivion RPG-style design because they are too cheap to come up with anything new. If it is successful it will be because of the pretty graphics and hype. It will be harder for Fallout to be successful in this way because:
1. Fancy modern/Sci-Fi graphics are the norm in FPS games, so it will be harder to compete (whereas Oblivion had no competition for nice fantasy graphics).
2. People will be less inclined to believe the hype (although many still will).
My opinion is that Bethesda knows that it "got away with it" with Oblivion, but they realize that Fallout will be more of a challenge. They are scared of the anti-hype put forward by the Codex and other people who can see the shallow game beneath the graphics. Putting down the so-called 'non-journalists' is just a sign of frustration on their part.
Although I doubt Bethesda will make a game that Fallout fans will enjoy, I really believe that early and constant skepticism and criticism will spur Bethesda to do a better job, even if they will never admit it. The "sit back, say nothing, and leave Bethesda to it" argument is pure bullshit.