I think the next Great War will end with the Empire dissolving and Skyrim being free anyway...
I think the Stormcloak cause has the decisive moral high ground, but I do think that ultimately their rebellion was a strategic mistake if only because it means fighting and dying for something that they'd eventually be getting anyway.
IIRC, Aldmeri Dominon is on a conquest. If Skyrim remains in the Empire, Nords are neutered, but have the Legion to protect them. If Skyrim secedes, it gets gobbled up by Aldmeri Dominion, because it has no truce with them and AD has some ancient butthurt about Nords for something I forgot. Basically, divide and conquer.
And yeah, judging by the lore, Bethesda is p. much killing off the Empire and replacing it with AD, because they've run out of antagonists and nazi fops in gay uniforms are the next best thing.
Which is too bad, the Empire was
as fuck. Feels like they've jumped centuries each game, but haven't done anything of worth with each setting since MW. What a waste.
Stormcloaks are tribalist scum. There's a bunch of weirdos trying to unmake the world ffs.
You're confusing them with Forsworn. Those were p. retarded, yeah.