A Text-Only Report Of The Tunisian Cockblock
So I tried Tunis for my second game just for a laugh, with the larp-goal that I would first expand all over the Mediterranean in search of trade, meet Martin Luther and become a devout Protestant Kingdom, and then wage religious war on the Catholics in the name of... Jesus. Problem is that in the 1444 start all seaside regions are pretty well consolidated, either belonging to biggish chunks like Aragon and Napoli or to the HRE.
First step was a speedy invasion of Urbino, the only OPM in the area not to have this protection, and a successful annexation. Core. But -2 stability because I took a stab hit to declare war means increased rebel chances. Queue rebellion while coring, which quickly blooms to a size of 28,000 men - in 1446. The Urbino Nationalists field a larger army than France. They capture Ancona, then go on to besiege Rome for some reason, then Napoli-owned Abruzzi. I sit and wring my hands as Urbino reforms, now as a two-province, automatically beginning wars with Napoli and with myself (separately). As a fully fledged nation, Urbino realises it cannot pay for 28,000 men and promptly disbands everyone except 5,000 - which is just about all I can afford. I promptly land my ships in a set of evenly pitched battles and just win. The result: Urbino rebels have given me Abruzzi as well.
Once again, I try and core, and once again, rebellion while coring. Still on -2 stab. Urbino Nationalist Horde wipes out my army for a second time. I eventually accept demands, which strangely does not reform Urbino, but Abruzzi gets -100% everything Autonomy modifier for 20 years. Seeing its continued ownership as pointless for now I sell it to Napoli for 60 gold and try to core Ancona ASAP, using points for stability and harsh treatment. Ancona is cored. I relax and begin the missionary conversion process - which hikes up rebellion chance by 6%, and soon there is Urbino Horde III that wipes my army. Again. It goes rampant, again, and forms Urbino again, this time including the Papacy-owned Romagna. Urbino disbands the entire horde again, I swoop in again. The result: Urbino rebels have given me Romagna as well.
At this point my army has been wiped 4+ times, I am perpetually in negative stability, I can't afford any Ideas, and I only have trade income from the Tunis node to continue to replenish my army and keep a foothold. Just before Romagna is cored, Urbino Horde IV rises and wipes my army. Again. My ally, the Ottoman Empire, drags me into a war with Venice, which promptly sinks all my ships.
And that's where I'm at.