Whoa, that is actually a cool find,
Jim the Dinosaur
OK, so let's start boiling things down.
As
taxalot has pointed out, it's really hard to have any reliable patterns before the second death. We've used usernames, avatars, etc. to approximate, but we still don't know if the method of kill has such an obvious relationship - so it's something to go off, but not something to be sure about. (BTW, I think I can respond to Jim's accusation easily: I doubt Mr. Pink and/or the killers have bothered to run a search and see who talks about scaling to level the most, and 8 mentions in +4000 posts doesn't a meme make.) We still have to use proxies like these, so I don't begrudge Jim his guess, though.
I think one thing is that if we actually manage to accuse a killer, his response matters. While nobody likes to die, I'd think that a killer accused on day one would try pretty hard to avoid death. Sometimes you think OK, I'll die and use it to exculpate my partner, but rarely do you risk that on the first day. So, having previously helped put the spotlight on spigot, I think his blase attitude actually works in his favour for now.
I will formally accuse
Excommunicator, joining Duraframe and Viata:
This is going to end in a Neville Kaiser Soze moment isn't it?
Anyway I vote for excommunicator. Something about hhis comment rubs me the wrong way.
My reasoning being:
(1) He is posting but not much, he does not offer much reasoning, and he tries to effect a nonchalant and wry demeanour. All of which to me points to a guy that has something to hide. And whereas spigot just doesn't seem overly bothered, excom to me reads more like he's trying harder to sound unbothered.
(2) By the same token, he is less useful to the innocents than someone like Nevill, who, if he is innocent, helps us with relatively clear and cogent posting.
(3) If Excom should turn out to be innocent, I think the fact that Duraframe and Viata posted in quick succession to bring Excom to 2 votes would be an interesting thing to examine. I'm aware that as the third vote I am building the bandwagon, but I think there's enough reasons overall to vote Excom, reasons I am trying to be clear about, and I do believe, as I mentioned before, we should try and avoid a no-kill day if we aren't totally unsure.