If i could choose a company to make BG3, i would chose CD projekt red. Owlcat, WoTC would't never licence to then. Larian, i was expecting a complete AWFUL sword coast legends feat dos2 game at first but the gameplay surprised me and i an now neutral really wishing that the game will be great(for declined modern standards)
A collective sigh of relief went through the rpg world when Larian was announced since "At least its not Beamdog as rumored before".
I believe that beamdog doesn't have enough manpower to produce a BG3. And after Siege of Dragonspear got negative repercussion by the fans, with 2.5/5 score on GoG a score similar to Arcania, another fiasco(from gothic series), WoTC probably decided to give the license to another company(only speculation. Not sure)
sources af.gog.com/game/arcania?as=1649904300 and af.gog.com/game/baldurs_gate_siege_of_dragonspear?as=1649904300
Like it or not, we only have Pathfinder and Owlcat as a source of good D&D RPGs with good production values.
Sure, we also have Ceres Games with Realms Beyond: Ashes of the Fallen, but they are just making first steps right now. Let's hope they eventually become an established RPG developer without selling out.
OwlCat has a huge competitive advantage over other RPG companies. They are localized on Russia, US$2,000,000 from kickstarter to spend on Russia can buy far more "hours of development" than the same 2mi on US or Western Europe.
But one game which i loved from Larian was Divine Divinity. It was like "Ultima meet Diablo in a nightclub"... If BG3 will not have the mechanics which i hate from modern games(CDs, item fever, number inflation) and the unique downsides are the stylized art style, lv cap and the slow animations, it can still be one of the greatest RPG's of MODERN times(due the lack of competition).
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And honestly, i an glad that is Larian and not BioWare(modern bioware is not 90s bioware).
BioWare would probably make a "live service" wow clone mmo. Obsidian, will have a lot of Sawyerism worst than NWN2 and now that they are owned by M$, will have to be XBOX and controller friendly...