Dragon Age: The Veilguard Steam Concurrent Player Poll

[Late Bloomer]

Specific numbers are welcome.

 

[Late Bloomer]

I am going to go with 83,000 player peak. I feel like it could be more than that, not less. I will stick with 83k. We shall see.

 

[Herumor]

I'd say 41% of whatever the ultimate player count ends up to be will have a severe drop off.

 

[Elttharion]

43k

 

[KörangarTheMighty]

I think around 31,000. I'm really bad at guessing.

 

[processdaemon]

I've gone with 100k-200k but I wouldn't bet my life on it. Current stats are as follows:

Outstanding wishlists:
754.2k
Daily wishlist additions:
2.2k
Copies sold:
107.8k (53.9k - 161.7k)
Gross revenue:
$6.4m ($3.2m - $9.7m)
Followers:
74.3k
Predicted month 1 sales:
271.5k (135.7k - 543k)
Predicted month 1 revenue:
$13m ($6.5m - $26m)

Assuming that most of the people who preordered play near launch and they convert ~10% of the wishlists to sales pretty soon after it's released over 100k is very doable in my opinion. I do suspect that it'll peak near launch if they mostly gave advance review codes out to people inclined to be positive since the score may start to flag and cripple momentum when the reviewers who are more critical get their hands on it but we'll see.

 

[DoWhocares]

Starfield, the other "veteran RPG return to form" peaked at about 300k concurrents before Todd's deal with the devil expired and even normies realized Bethesda's games have always been shit. And prior to launch there wasn't nearly as much pushback against it as there is with Failguard.

Manor Lords spent months as the most wishlisted game ever before it pulled its EA bait and switch and was revealed to be just another city builder after all. That one climbed to 170k. Failguard in comparison sits at 25th in wishlists days before release.

So according to my infallible maths, the absolute peak it can reach is 300k. This will never happen. Even in the olden days, when Todd could still swindle with the best of them, Beth's games always vastly outperformed Bioware. And from all we've seen Starfield is a much better game than Failguard (lol). A more realistic number is something less than Manure Lords, so closer to 100k.

With the atmosphere around Failguard currently, my "I WANT TO BELIVE" prediction is somewhere around 20-30k. And my crystal ball shot in the dark to lord over the nerds if I get it right is 37k.

 

[SixDead]

14880

 

[Shaja]

I don't know the peak concurrent time for wine aunties to have free time after work.

 

[The Wall]

10.000 players. At most. 10 000 immortal trannies who keep killing themxelves only a new one to step in, sit behind a keyboard and press PLAY

 

[NecroLord]

6 million.

 

[Gandalf]

Plus minus 100 thousands. Safe brackets would be 90-200 thousands. Maybe I'm being generous, maybe not. That's my shot.

 

[Falksi]

DA is like Final Fantasy, in that it will never drop below a certain number because it's hardcore fans are so retardedly loyal that they will buy any old shite.

However, there aren't that many of them overall tbf, and a lot of them are consoletards too, so I'm guessing 50-100k

 

[Axel_am]

Can't make a prediction about number of concurent players but here's what I think will happen. There will be a huge spike of players that will drop off in less than a week. Afterwards we're going to see an increase in BG3 players and maybe some of the other Dragon Age games.

 

[Paul_cz]

45K is my guess.

But even if it does 100K, I doubt it will recoup its budget.

 

[TheKing01]

It will sell extremely well.

Anything past that will be determined by the game's quality

 

[Russia is over. The end.]

I'm the only one in the 200-300k bracket out of 66 voters.

 

[processdaemon]

I'm the only one in the 200-300k bracket out of 66 voters.

I think 200-300k is possible but I'm assuming that a lot of people will be playing on the EA app because they have two deals for it (GeForce Now upgrade deal and availability on EA Play Pro day 1) or console and that Steam players will be lower as a result. Steam loyalty is pretty high though so you could be right.

 

[Havoc]

Peak players will be 200k but will quickly fizzle out to 5k average, then just dead.

 

[Russia is over. The end.]

Peak players will be 200k but will quickly fizzle out to 5k average, then just dead.

Women will play it, they are the new core RPG audience. They're in for romances. We're not the audience anymore.

 

[Swen]

More than 100k or even 200k in the first week but will decline very fast when it becomes clear how bad it is.

 

[Tyranicon]

I think we're overestimating BioWare's pull because we're old. BioWare hasn't made a Dragon Age game in 10 years, and a good game in much, much longer.

Kids both don't know who they are, and they don't want to play this ugly thing.

Older gamers don't because we're clearly not the target audience.

The marketing has failed, the most viewed review is SkillUp's, that trashes it. It's steam forums are in a state of open war, its reddit sub operates on the most hardcore censoring I've ever seen even on reddit.

They are funneling so much money into shilling this game that even the mainstream is noticing.

BioWare is cooked. I don't think this game will meet EA's expectations. I believe the studio is finally at risk of dissolution.

 

[Fargus]

100-200k

 

[Sweeper]

and even normies realized Bethesda's games have always been shit.

APOLOGIZE!

 

[DoWhocares]

and even normies realized Bethesda's games have always been shit.

APOLOGIZE!

Only room in this town for one dog companion, brother.