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Dragon Age: The Veilguard Steam Concurrent Player Poll

How Many Peak Concurrent Players Will Failguard Have On Steam?


  • Total voters
    108
  • This poll will close: .

Late Bloomer

Scholar
Joined
Apr 7, 2022
Messages
3,738
Specific numbers are welcome.
 

Late Bloomer

Scholar
Joined
Apr 7, 2022
Messages
3,738
I am going to go with 83,000 player peak. I feel like it could be more than that, not less. I will stick with 83k. We shall see.
 

processdaemon

Scholar
Patron
Joined
Jul 14, 2023
Messages
604
I've gone with 100k-200k but I wouldn't bet my life on it. Current stats are as follows:
Outstanding wishlists:
754.2k
Daily wishlist additions:
2.2k
Copies sold:
107.8k (53.9k - 161.7k)
Gross revenue:
$6.4m ($3.2m - $9.7m)
Followers:
74.3k
Predicted month 1 sales:
271.5k (135.7k - 543k)
Predicted month 1 revenue:
$13m ($6.5m - $26m)
Assuming that most of the people who preordered play near launch and they convert ~10% of the wishlists to sales pretty soon after it's released over 100k is very doable in my opinion. I do suspect that it'll peak near launch if they mostly gave advance review codes out to people inclined to be positive since the score may start to flag and cripple momentum when the reviewers who are more critical get their hands on it but we'll see.
 

DoWhocares

Novice
Joined
Feb 3, 2024
Messages
85
Starfield, the other "veteran RPG return to form" peaked at about 300k concurrents before Todd's deal with the devil expired and even normies realized Bethesda's games have always been shit. And prior to launch there wasn't nearly as much pushback against it as there is with Failguard.

Manor Lords spent months as the most wishlisted game ever before it pulled its EA bait and switch and was revealed to be just another city builder after all. That one climbed to 170k. Failguard in comparison sits at 25th in wishlists days before release.

So according to my infallible maths, the absolute peak it can reach is 300k. This will never happen. Even in the olden days, when Todd could still swindle with the best of them, Beth's games always vastly outperformed Bioware. And from all we've seen Starfield is a much better game than Failguard (lol). A more realistic number is something less than Manure Lords, so closer to 100k.

With the atmosphere around Failguard currently, my "I WANT TO BELIVE" prediction is somewhere around 20-30k. And my crystal ball shot in the dark to lord over the nerds if I get it right is 37k.
 

Gandalf

Arbiter
Joined
Sep 1, 2020
Messages
693
Plus minus 100 thousands. Safe brackets would be 90-200 thousands. Maybe I'm being generous, maybe not. That's my shot.
 

Falksi

Arcane
Joined
Feb 14, 2017
Messages
10,972
Location
Nottingham
DA is like Final Fantasy, in that it will never drop below a certain number because it's hardcore fans are so retardedly loyal that they will buy any old shite.

However, there aren't that many of them overall tbf, and a lot of them are consoletards too, so I'm guessing 50-100k
 

Axel_am

Exploring and Enjoying
Patron
Joined
Jul 23, 2023
Messages
689
Location
Buckkeep
Codex+ Now Streaming!
Can't make a prediction about number of concurent players but here's what I think will happen. There will be a huge spike of players that will drop off in less than a week. Afterwards we're going to see an increase in BG3 players and maybe some of the other Dragon Age games.
 
Last edited:

processdaemon

Scholar
Patron
Joined
Jul 14, 2023
Messages
604
I'm the only one in the 200-300k bracket out of 66 voters.
I think 200-300k is possible but I'm assuming that a lot of people will be playing on the EA app because they have two deals for it (GeForce Now upgrade deal and availability on EA Play Pro day 1) or console and that Steam players will be lower as a result. Steam loyalty is pretty high though so you could be right.
 

Tyranicon

A Memory of Eternity
Developer
Joined
Oct 7, 2019
Messages
7,572
I think we're overestimating BioWare's pull because we're old. BioWare hasn't made a Dragon Age game in 10 years, and a good game in much, much longer.

Kids both don't know who they are, and they don't want to play this ugly thing.

Older gamers don't because we're clearly not the target audience.

The marketing has failed, the most viewed review is SkillUp's, that trashes it. It's steam forums are in a state of open war, its reddit sub operates on the most hardcore censoring I've ever seen even on reddit.

They are funneling so much money into shilling this game that even the mainstream is noticing.

BioWare is cooked. I don't think this game will meet EA's expectations. I believe the studio is finally at risk of dissolution.
 

Sweeper

Arcane
Joined
Jul 28, 2018
Messages
3,537
and even normies realized Bethesda's games have always been shit.
dogmeat___fallout_4_by_otrixx-d9gmp95.jpg

APOLOGIZE!
 

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