The first rule of the corporate world is to cover your ass. F:NV continues to resonate within the fanbase to such an extent that it's damaging to Bethesda's brand. That's a time bomb on your hands if you're an executive.
Sadly, I don’t think they feel the need to do any ass covering whatsoever. As much love as F:NV gets on certain corners of the web, F4 racked up $750 million in sales on day one—more than New Vegas made in its first five years. F4 has now sold more copies than Skyrim. (
https://www.google.com/amp/www.tech...s-now-bethesdas-most-successful-game-ever.htm)
Who cares if it was a critical disappointment with those numbers? Far from covering their asses the guys at Bethesda are probably jumping all over themselves to take as much credit as possible internally.
Still, there’s no sound business reason not to give Obsidian another crack. No way are they worried about anyone stealing the brand away from them in the minds of consumers because of a few online forums.
If Obsidian own the brand in the mind of the consumer, they can basically hold Zenimax hostage. A billion dollar franchise would be dependent on 3rd party entity.
How exactly would they do that? This line of argument seems kind of squishy and symbolic to me.
More important, even if I concede your point that fans clamoring for Obsidian to make the next title could force Bethesda’s hand, it’s still beside the point. That’s because Obsidian absolutely does not own the brand in the minds of most consumers. Those of us who prefer New Vegas are a niche audience, even if, in this one rare case, the critics and journalists actually agree with us. As far as the casuals are concerned—and they’re the vast bulk of the marketplace—Bethesda is Fallout. No matter how many clowns on Twitter ask Sawyer or MCA when New Vegas 2 is coming out, it won’t threaten Bethesda, although I’m sure it pisses them off.
Jaesun, Hines may be blowing smoke, but F4 was a massive commercial success for its first day sales alone. I wish Zenimax was publicly traded so I could dig into the numbers (and go to the annual shareholder meetings to bitch at Todd Howard), but with a private firm it’s hard to say why they disclose what they do. Maybe post day-1 sales were very disappointing; it still sold more in preorders and on the first day than F3 or New Vegas had in their entire runs up to that point.
All of which is just to say that, alas, Bethesda has every reason to believe they’ve found the right formula of post apocalyptic FPS/hiking sim with very light RPG elements. Worst of all, they’re right! Shooters are way more popular than RPGs.
This is why I have so much affection for Obsidian and Larian and even InXile: they are handicapping themselves commercially to make games in the genre they love. And it’s why I believe in Tim Cain and Leonard Boyarsky.